The OECD's forecasts for 2025 are 0.3 percentage points higher than those made in June, reflecting stronger-than-expected resilience in the first half of the year.
In the United States, growth is projected to be 1.8% in 2025 and 1.5% in 2026, influenced by tariffs, moderated net immigration, and federal workforce reductions.
China's growth is expected to slow to 4.9% in 2025 and 4.4% in 2026, due to a slowdown in initial economic activity, the implementation of tariffs, and reduced fiscal support.
The Eurozone is anticipated to grow by 1.2% in 2025 and 1.1% in 2026 amid trade tensions and geopolitical uncertainties.
The United Kingdom is forecasted to grow by 1.4% in 2025 and 1.0% in 2026, while Japan is expected to see growth of 1.1% and 0.5% during the same period.
At the same time, global inflation is projected to decrease to 3.4% in 2025 and 2.9% in 2026, although inflationary pressures may re-emerge.
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